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Cable Babies: The Next Generation
January 25, 2011  | By Mike Donovan
 
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Many years ago, I wrote an article called "Invasion of the Cable Babies" for a broadcast promotion directors' publication, triggered by my discovery that I was beginning to get students in my TV classes who had cable TV their entire lives. They made no distinction between broadcast and cable. To them, television always meant 50-plus channels, and NBC and USA were just two of the many channels. And today, there's yet another generational viewing shift...

(Author's Note: In that original article, I suggested that, with the growing multichannel universe, broadcasters should begin to put a station ID bug in the lower right of the screen to help distinguish themselves from the channel clutter. To whatever degree my suggestion led to the covering of a third of the screen with incredibly distracting visuals and sound promoting the channel, the programs, and pretty much everything else, I apologize.)

Over the years, I began polling my classes at Rowan University in New Jersey about what they watch and how much they watch. As I now have zero students who watch only over-the-air broadcast television, for 2011 I decided to include a new question about HOW they watch.

The group was comprised of 59 percent male and 41 percent female, with an average age of 20. They were there either because they were interested in TV, or it was the only class they could find. I didn't ask that question. I didn't really want to know.

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A decade or so ago, you could be certain that when asked about their favorite current or recent TV show, a huge majority would come down for NBC's Friends and Seinfeld and Fox's The Simpsons. Apparently things have changed.

This year, with 75 students polled, the question about favorite current/recent show resulted in an astounding 44 different show titles. Of those 44, only 14 received more than one vote, with Showtime's serial-killer drama Dexter the winner -- claiming a mere eight votes.

Of all the shows nominated, fewer than half -- about 41 percent -- were on broadcast networks. Basic and premium cable pretty much split the rest.

Just a few years ago, most students watched in real time, or occasionally time-shifted with a VCR. This year, only about 26 percent watched exclusively in real time. And while the rest occasionally watched in real time (mostly sports), most of the time they went with DVDs, DVRs or On-Demand.

Most surprising of all was that about four in 10 usually downloaded programs, from places like Hulu or Netflix, and watched on their desktop, laptop or iPad.

So what conclusions can be drawn from this seriously unscientific survey?

For the TV industry, the good news is that only about eight percent of these young people said they watched very little television. Fifty-three percent watched more than a few hours per week, and 39 percent watched, by their own estimates, entirely too much television. (Needless to say, they're my favorites.)

The bad news for the industry is that there seems to be no way to predict what the next generation of consumers want to watch. For example, I would have thought that CBS's The Big Bang Theory would be a hit with 20-year-olds. It didn't get a single favorite-show vote.

From a teacher's point of view, I have to spend a lot of time explaining the stuff I used to take for granted -- for example, the difference between broadcast and non-broadcast television. Or, for that matter, remembering that what I mean when I use the word television (watching in your living room on a Barcalounger) isn't what THEY mean when I use the word television (any time, any place, large screen, small screen, hand-held, etc.).

Instead of "The TV Industry," I'd be better off changing the name of the course to "The Video Content Delivery Systems Industry." But if I were a student, even I wouldn't take a course with THAT name.

There is one bright spot for me as a teacher, however. Unlike TV executives, I don't rely on predicting viewer behavior for my paycheck.

4 Comments

Rich said:

Be glad you didn't have me in your mix recently - You would've had to figure out how to tabulate at least 6-8 ongoing weekly TV series from Japan that are subbed in english and uploaded for free.

I would've liked to have seen you scratching your head at titles such as: "Are you a Zombie?", "Shiki," "Infinite Stratos", and "A Certain Magical Index" (season 2!).

I actually watch a lot of news & history channel stuff while I'm doing stuff online - so I often use the TV sound as radio. So that should make you feel better that someone at least uses TV -- for Radio purposes.

Comment posted on January 26, 2011 9:08 AM
 
 
Jim said:

Mr. Donovan, it's good to see you are still alive. You made us students project where the technology was going 38 years ago at the then Glassboro State College. Who would have guessed we'd be watching tv shows on our phones & a hit show would be about guidos in New Jersey. What's next? Your assignment is to write another article to let us know.

Comment posted on January 28, 2011 9:17 PM
 
 
Alex said:

I'm 29, and I would have really skewed your results. I have about 12 shows from this and last season. I like 8 from network TV, one being The Big Bang Theory. There are only 4 cable shows I like.

Comment posted on January 29, 2011 11:47 PM
 
 
Mike Donovan said:

Rich: An interesting selection of shows. Just curious, other than technical training schools and phone sex (I mean date) lines, who else advertises on these shows?

Jim: I'm alive, but just barely. I'll work on your request, but the fact that you're reading this where you're reading this should tell you something.

Alex: There are far more than four really good original shows on basic cable alone. Leverage, White Collar, Southland and the Closer come immediately to mind. Then there's Men of a Certain Age, Burn Notice, In Plain Sight, Rescue Me and Memphis Beat. If they aren't on your watch list, check them out.

Comment posted on January 30, 2011 2:25 PM
 
 
 
 
 
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